Happy New Year!!!!

2011 was a good year for trend follower.
For 2012, will just follow the trend, as it unfolds.

Happy New Year to All!!!

Window Dressing????

         Dec 9   Closed       Dec 29 Closed       P/L
DIZ             9.10           11.38                     20%
GLO           953             1133                   16%
CMT          1.34             1.60                    17%
PAL            6.01            6.99                   14%
HLCM        8.4              9.40                    11%
PNB          53.0             56.4                       6%
AC            293               311                       6%
DMC         39.05           41.30                   5%
MPI           3.48             3.66                      5%

I selected December 9, because that was the time Euro problems in the headlines. PSE reacted on the news from December 8 to 12.

Selected stocks were actively traded except HLCM.

Example of Money Management New

2 red ones are new entry.

Example of Money Management Final

Not bad for 3 weeks trading on a bearish sentiment market.

Great traders concentrate on good risk management. They constantly manage their open positions. Linda Bradford Raschke

Position Sizing is THE most important aspect of your trading system, because if you have positive expectancy, your position sizing rules will determine your profits.  Dr. Tharp - Trade Your Way To Financial Freedom
http://tracer-tracer.blogspot.com/2011/12/example-of-money-management-2.html
http://tracer-tracer.blogspot.com/2011/12/example-of-money-management-3.html
http://tracer-tracer.blogspot.com/2011/12/example-of-money-management-4.html
http://tracer-tracer.blogspot.com/2011/12/example-of-money-management-5.html

A Merry Merry Christmas Indeed

Good News from Heaven the angel bring.

Glad tidings to the earth they sing;

To us this day a child is given,

To crown us with the joy of heaven.

-Martin Luther

Example of Money Management 5

http://tracer-tracer.blogspot.com/2011/12/example-of-money-management-4.html

The Bounce

As I mentioned previously in FM about CEB, you would be lucky if it will bounce 10%, it only bounce 5%.
Is 5% worth the risk?

Probably the bounce was due to the reco of a broker. (I was even wondering why it recommended a buy).
As per dow theory, manipulators can move a stock for a short period only.

Price Action and News

When I was a newbie, I believed in what the news and blogs says, and I lose a lot of money believing them.
When I just watch price action against the news... my portfolio change dramatically. Bloomberg, CNBC and other economic gurus does not concerned me anymore.

I remember as early as 2005, bearish news all over.
And I read that the market since early 19th century, has been moving 60% of the time in bearish sentiment.
So, how can you trade???

Some experts suggested isolation - no business news, no Wall Street Journal, no listening to other traders, just you and the markets. A. Elder

MPI Green Signals

When all lines crossed.

MPI Green signals. Nice to see a active stocks are showing green signals, it's a long time.

The last time was last year when this blog was founded.

Foreign Buying VS Selling 2

If CEB is an eye sore. P6 is the opposite. 37 days of foreign buying since Oct. 11 against 8.

Why do I consider it important. Because of their deep pockets, they can move the price in any direction.

As of Dec 16,  47 issues broke above Sept 19 closed ( Phisix 4,308 Top, prior to the crash) and  70 still stuck up

.

http://tracer-tracer.blogspot.com/2011/12/foreign-buying-vs-selling.html

Example of Money Management 4

Sold the 2 reds and the 10% gain.

CEB Foreign Selling

Since August 1 to present, Ceb has been NFS.  Good luck for those who loves to catching the bottom.

Example of Money Management 3

I think I have to sell that 2 reds. Not worth waiting.

http://tracer-tracer.blogspot.com/2011/12/example-of-money-management-2.html

AUD-USD Short - Closed Short Position and Reverse to Long Positions 3

AUD-USD Short - Closed Short Position and Reverse to Long Positions 2

If it goes up, my best swing trade ever.

http://tracer-tracer.blogspot.com/2011/12/aud-usd-short-closed-short-position-and.html

US and Phil. No. 1 Food Company Comparison

Weekly chart of JFC and MCD from 2008 to present.

If you takeaway the noise, you will see a trend plus dividends.

Same price 100, only the other in US dollars.

DJIA Short Last Minute Covering

AUD-USD Short - Closed Short Position and Reverse to Long Positions

In a sideways DJIA, 10 to 20% gain in FX is ok. Still struggling with FX.

DMC Breakout???

DMC Green Signals

UBS Buying LCB at 1.98

BEL ang LC/B

Example of Money Management 2

http://tracer-tracer.blogspot.com/2011/09/example-of-money-management.html

Short Covering by the Closed

Breakout????

Continuation of DJIA Power of "N" Live

Foreign Buying VS Selling

From Oct 11 2011, ( Start of foreign buying)  to present Dec 6.

17 up days ( Green Color ) 17 down days ( Red Color )

Only 7 days foreign selling against 30 days foreign buying.

As of Dec 6,  44 issues broke above Sept 19 closed ( Phisix 4,308 Top, prior to the crash) and  76 still stuck up.

But 98% better than First week of November  which was only 24 above  Sept. 19 and 98 stuck up.

DJIA Price action Live

Last Minute Short Covering

When all Lines Meet

Above example of buying the dips, SMA 20,50, 100 lines meet. Time to buy???

Not all the time like MA charts above, all lines meet, but sideways. Well at least, sideways,

better than staring at the ticker every second.

LCB

The Green Signal

Speculation is far too exciting. Most people who speculate hound brokerage offices or received frequent telephone calls and after business days they talk market with friends at all gatherings. The ticker or translux is always on their minds. They are so engrossed with minors ups and downs that the miss the big movements. Almost invariably the vast majority have commitments on the wrong side when the broad trend swings under way. The speculator who insists on trying to profit from daily minor movements will never be in a position to take advantage of the next important change marketwise when it occurs. Livermore

Long AUD USD

Only one side of the Market, The Right Side

Dow Monthly charts, Notice the increased in volume before price making higher low.

http://tracer-tracer.blogspot.com/2011/07/inverse-n-example-2.html

IBM and OSG, same time frame, but opposite direction. Chart speaks for itself.

IBM wild fluctuations due to human emotions, panic, but price always goes back to the mean.

Always follow the line of least resistance. Livermore